China’s Enterprises’ Development and Governance
(In an
interview with CCTV China 24 on August 10th, 2012, Pro. Zhu Ning, Deputy
Director of SAIF, shared his opinion on China's enterprises' development
strategy and governance)
Enterprises
must chart focused corporate strategy to encourage investment and benefit
economy. With 79 companies in the Fortune 500 list for 2012 published last
month, China was the second most represented country in the rankings.
While
many Chinese business leaders and managers feel excited about further growth of
the corporate businesses and their increasing influence among international
counterparts, some are concerned.
First,
most of the leading companies from the Chinese mainland come from monopolistic
or semi-monopolistic industries, where entry barriers are high and competition
is limited. Second, among such large companies, their rankings will drop if
ranked by their profits instead of the revenues, the common standard used by
Fortune magazine.
Also,
private companies feel that the further increase in the size of State-owned enterprises
will hinder the growth of private ones and eventually crowd out their own
businesses.
Such
fears seem to coincide with some of the comments made by the World Bank earlier
this year on the sustainability of Chinese economic growth over the next two
decades. Based on their research, the World Bank and the State Council
Development Research Center of China together recommend that, to make Chinese
SOEs more competitive, an SOE's size should be limited, its growth model
modified, and its dividend payout increased.
Such
diagnoses and recommendations seem to be in line with the feelings of common
people. More and more college graduates target SOEs as their ideal employer.
"Even though the nominal salary is not as high, SOEs provide unparalleled
benefits, and the work is not that demanding," as one put it.
At the
same time, more private company owners are voicing their concern that SOEs are
growing so big that they remove growth potential for private enterprises, many
of which start at a disadvantage in resources, financing, and government
support.
Senior
officials from the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Committee
admit that, with their increase in size, SOEs' operational efficiency and
profitability have not improved accordingly.
So what
has gone wrong? One answer may lie in corporate strategy. With the committee's
objective of reducing the number of SOEs, the remaining ones have not only
become bigger, but also more complex. By acquiring other smaller ones,
remaining SOEs ventured into more sectors and businesses that they were not
originally familiar with.
Investors
in general are not keen on such diversification. Reviewing the corporate
strategy of Western firms in the past three decades, scholars find a clear
trend that companies from the US, Europe and Japan show a pattern of becoming
more focused in their line of business. The number of conglomerates, defined as
companies with at least five major lines of business, has decreased steadily
over those 30 years. In contrast, the number of specialized companies, whose
revenues come from no more than three lines of business, has increased.
Corporate
managers have quoted operational and stock market performances as major reasons
for the trend. Investors tend to favor companies with clear business models and
competence to excel in them. For example, Warren Buffet is famous for sticking
with his investment philosophy of picking simple businesses with clear
competitive advantages in the long run.
A most
recent case reflecting such a trend is the announcement of a split-up by News
Corporation. As one of the largest media companies in the world, News Corp has
been facing challenges in how to manage its stagnant traditional publishing
business, in contrast with the fast growth of the video and Internet
businesses. Although the publishing side still commands the majority of the
corporation's assets, its contribution to profits has been decreasing steadily
to about one-third of its profits.
The
publishing business is also facing investigations over illegal eavesdropping,
which not only blemished the company's public image, but also shook investors'
confidence in the business and caused its stock price to under-perform.
To revive
growth and restore investors' confidence, the Murdochs and News Corp decided to
split the company into two, one focusing on publishing and one on video and
movies. News Corp's share price shot up by about 30 percent within a week of
the announcement.
So could
such a decision work in China? The answer is yes, according to my own research.
I conducted a study that divides all companies included in the Shanghai and
Shenzhen 300 Composite index into groups based on whether the companies are
diversified, or focused, in terms of lines of business. I then compared the
operational performance and stock performance for those that have more diverse
business lines, with those that have more focused business revenues. I found
that, consistent with investors' preference in the West, more focused investors
perform better, both in operational efficiency and stock prices, than the more
diversified ones.
So why do
investors prefer more focused companies?
First and
foremost, many investors believe that capital markets are more efficient than
average companies at allocating capital. As a result, investors prefer to see
listed companies distribute cash flow back to their investors, and let them
decide whether they want to go along with companies' investment plans. Given
that corporate managers are influenced by agency problems and shortcomings in
their own behavioral patterns, investors sometimes prefer to avoid complex
businesses where internal markets play too great a role
Corporate
governance can be another issue. According to research, corporate managers have
the tendency to retain and squander company cash flow for their own benefit.
For example, researchers found that companies with more corporate jets and
sports stadiums named after them have poor corporate governance and stock
performance. As the size of the company grows, there are greater resources and
cash flow at the management's disposal, which concerns investors more.
Finally,
if investors prefer to diversify across different sectors of the same company,
specialized and divided companies would give investors more flexibility in
choosing the best player within the respective industry than the choice by
conglomerates.
Granted
China is still going through the stage of fast economic growth, and the size of
Chinese companies is bound to increase with the economy. However, it is
important to point out that increasing the size of corporation does not
necessarily require the parent companies to put all their subsidiaries within
the same group. Flexible corporate structure, such as a parent holding company,
may be more effective in increasing its asset size and market capitalization,
if this is what the parent company pursues.
Several
modern corporate finance tactics, such as spin-off, split-off, and carve-out,
are available to Chinese companies when they consider restructuring and
improving their investor relationship. Successful examples, such as the
split-ups of News Corp and Marathon Oil, prove that such restructuring tools
can effectively improve corporate performance, at least in the short- to
medium-term.
Some SOE
senior managers are concerned that splitting up a parent company may result in
a decrease in its asset size or loss of corporate control. The lessons from the
more developed capital markets suggest that, as long as the valuation and
transaction are carried out at fair market value, the restructuring of SOEs
should be able to attract increased capital from investors and improve core
competence. At the same time, investors would value each business line of the
company more, now that they understand the company better.
Only when
the SOEs are open to such restructuring possibilities can they set up an
effective monitoring mechanism over their lines of business and truly make each
line strong and competitive on its own.
A
successful SOE can only be built on the success of each of its own businesses
and a successful Chinese economy relies on the success of each of its SOEs.